Applied
Strategic
Foresight
Applied Strategic Foresight (ASF) was founded in 2025 in Hanoi with a bold vision: to bring world-class geopolitical forecasting to Vietnam through a fusion of human judgment and advanced technology.
Grounded in Philip Tetlock’s research on accuracy in prediction, we believe the future is best anticipated not by instinct or domain expertise, but by structured methodologies, calibrated probabilities, and continuous model refinement.
As Vietnam’s first dedicated geopolitical forecasting firm, ASF is building AI-assisted platforms and digital simulation tools to generate high-quality forecasts and strategic wargames. We combine cutting-edge algorithms with expert judgment to help clients navigate uncertainty and make timely, informed decisions.
Our mission goes beyond business: we aim to contribute to Vietnam’s digital transformation by enhancing the analytical capacity of both public and private institutions. Through data-driven forecasts, interactive planning tools, and structured foresight exercises, we seek to modernize how organizations think about the future.
We uphold the highest standards of accountability, rigorously tracking our forecast accuracy and improving our systems through iterative feedback. By advancing a transparent, technology-powered approach to strategic foresight, ASF is helping to shape a more resilient and anticipatory society.
What makes us different ?
Quantitative Precision: Every forecast includes specific probability estimates, backed by transparent methodology and clear reasoning. We don't deal in vague predictions.
Evidence-Driven Analysis: Our assessments combine rigorous data analysis, structured evaluation frameworks, and continuous testing of assumptions. Decisions based on evidence, not intuition.
Dynamic Intelligence: We update forecasts as new information emerges. Each update includes revised probabilities and clear explanation of changing factors.
Cutting-edge Tools: We leverage cutting-edge technology, including the latest AI tools, to enhance our analytical capabilities and pattern recognition.
Ruthless Objectivity: We follow evidence regardless of prevailing narratives or preferences. Good forecasts require systematic thinking and the ability to mitigate bias and preconception.
Clear Actionable Insights: Complex probabilities become clear recommendations. We deliver precise forecasts in formats optimized for decision-making.
Whether you're seeking strategic foresight for your organization or interested in exploring collaboration, we're ready to discuss how our insights can support you.
Contact us for more information: team@asfconsulting.co
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